Honestly: it is a lottery, and most people are not selected in a given year. In recent years the selection rate has generally run around 25–35% of registrations, and as of 2026 the US has been moving towards weighting selection by wage level, which changes the odds by salary. Nobody can guarantee selection — treat anyone who promises it as a red flag. Rules shift often, so check USCIS.gov for the current process.
Updated July 2026